Boxes |
Chart
Chart
Chart |
Data
Data
Data |
1.1 |
Slow Recovery to Nowhere? A
Sectoral View of Labor Markets in Advanced Economies |
Chart |
Data |
1.2 |
Credit Boom-Bust Cycles: Their
Triggers and Policy Implications |
Chart |
Data |
1.3 |
Are Equity Price Drops
Harbingers of Recession? |
Chart
Chart
Chart |
Data
Data
Data |
1.4 |
Financial Investment,
Speculation, and Commodity Prices |
Chart
Chart |
Data
Data |
1.5 |
External Liabilities and Crisis
Tipping Points |
Chart
Chart
Chart |
Data
Data
Data |
3.1 |
Inflation in
Sub-Saharan Africa during the 2008 Commodity Price Surge |
Chart
Chart |
Data
Data |
3.2 |
Food Price Swings
and Monetary Policy in Open Economies |
|
|
A.1 |
Economic Policy
Assumptions Underlying the Projections for Selected Economies |
|
Tables |
1.1. |
Overview of the
World Economic Outlook Projections |
1.2. |
Global Oil Demand
and Production by Region |
1.2.1. |
What Triggers Credit
Booms |
1.3.1. |
Summary Statistics
for Real Equity Price Growth |
1.3.2. |
Predicting New
Recessions with Financial Market Variables |
1.5.1. |
Probit Estimates of
Crisis Probability |
1.5.2. |
Model's Predictive
Power |
2.1. |
Selected Advanced
Economies: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, Current Account Balance,
and Unemployment |
2.2. |
Selected European
Economies: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, Current Account Balance,
and Unemployment |
2.3. |
Commonwealth of
Independent States: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, Current Account
Balance, and Unemployment |
2.4. |
Selected Asian
Economies: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, Current Account Balance,
and Unemployment |
2.5. |
Selected Western
Hemisphere Economies: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, Current Account
Balance, and Unemployment |
2.6. |
Selected Sub-Saharan
African Economies: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, Current Account
Balance, and Unemployment |
2.7. |
Selected Middle East
and North African Economies: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, Current
Account Balance, and Unemployment |
3.1. |
Gasoline
Pass-through from Oil Prices |
3.2. |
Flour and Bread
Pass-through from Wheat Prices |
3.1.1. |
Variations in
Inflation: Sub-Saharan Africa |
3.1.2. |
Food Inflation
Dynamics |
3.1.3. |
Inflation Dynamics |
3.1.4. |
Macroeconomics
Environment: Sub-Saharan Africa |
4.1. |
Data Sources |
|
|
Tables |
A1. |
Summary of World
Output |
A2. |
Advanced Economies:
Real GDP and Total Domestic Demand |
A3. |
Advanced Economies:
Components of Real GDP |
A4. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies by Country: Real GDP |
A5. |
Summary of Inflation |
A6. |
Advanced Economies:
Consumer Prices |
A7. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies: Consumer Prices |
A8. |
Major Advanced
Economies: General Government Fiscal Balances and Debt |
A9. |
Summary of World
Trade Volumes and Prices |
A10. |
Summary of Balances
on Current Account |
A11. |
Advanced Economies:
Balance on Current Account |
A12. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies: Balance on Current Account |
A13. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies: Net Financial Flows |
A14. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies: Private Financial Flows |
A15. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies: Reserves |
A16. |
Summary of Sources
and Uses of World Savings |
A17. |
Summary of Word
Medium-Term Baseline Scenario |
|
|
Online Tables |
B1. |
Advanced Economies:
Unemployment, Employment, and Real per Capita GDP |
B2. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies: Real GDP |
B3. |
Advanced Economies:
Hourly Earnings, Productivity, and Unit Labor Costs in
Manufacturing |
B4. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies: Consumer Prices |
B5. |
Summary of Financial
Indicators |
B6. |
Advanced Economies:
General and Central Government Net Lending/Borrowing and
Excluding Social Security Schemes |
B7. |
Advanced Economies:
General Government Structural Balances |
B8. |
Advanced Economies:
Exchange Rates |
B9. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies: General Government Net Lending/Borrowing
and Overall Fiscal Balance |
B10. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies: Broad Money Aggregates |
B11. |
Advanced Economies:
Export Volumes, Import Volumes, and Terms of Trade in Goods and
Services |
B12. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies by Region: Total Trade in Goods |
B13. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies by Source of Export Earnings: Total Trade
in Goods |
B14. |
Advanced Economies:
Current Account Transactions |
B15. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies: Balances on Current Account |
B16. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies by Region: Current Account Transactions |
B17. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies by Analytical Criteria: Current Account
Transactions |
B18. |
Summary of Balance
of Payments, Financial Flows, and External Financing |
B19. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies by Region: Balance of Payments and External
Financing |
B20. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies by Analytical Criteria: Balance of Payments
and External Financing |
B21. |
Summary of External
Debt and Debt Service |
B22. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies by Region: External Debt by Maturity and
Type of Creditor |
B23. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies by Analytical Criteria: External Debt by
Maturity and Type of Creditor |
B24. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies: Ratio of External Debt to GDP |
B25. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies: Debt-Service Ratios |
B26. |
Emerging and
Developing Economies, Medium-Term Baseline Scenario: Selected
Economic Indicators |
|
Figures |
Chart |
Data |
1.1 |
Global Indicators |
Chart |
Data |
1.2 |
Financial Strains in Europe and
the United States |
Chart |
Data |
1.3 |
Recent Financial Market
Developments |
Chart |
Data |
1.4 |
Prospects for Near-Term Activity |
Chart |
Data |
1.5 |
Global Outlook |
Chart |
Data |
1.6 |
Current and Forward-Looking
Growth Indicators |
Chart |
Data |
1.7 |
Balance Sheets and Saving Rates |
Chart |
Data |
1.8 |
Emerging Market Conditions |
Chart |
Data |
1.9 |
Emerging Market Economies with
Strong Credit Expansion |
Chart |
Data |
1.10 |
Measures of Monetary Policy and
Liquidity in Selected Advanced and Emerging Market Economies |
Chart |
Data |
1.11 |
General Government Fiscal
Balances and Public Debt |
Chart |
Data |
1.12 |
Cyclical Conditions |
Chart |
Data |
1.13 |
Global Projection Model
Estimates of the Output Gap |
Chart |
Data |
1.14 |
Global Inflation |
Chart |
Data |
1.15 |
Risks to the Global Outlook |
Chart |
Data |
1.16 |
WEO Downside Scenario |
Chart |
|
1.17 |
Overheating Indicators for the
G20 Countries |
Chart |
Data |
1.18 |
Policy Requirements in Emerging
Market Economies |
Chart |
Data |
1.19 |
External Developments |
Chart |
Data |
1.20 |
Global Imbalances |
Chart |
Data |
1.21 |
Employment and Unemployment |
Chart |
Data |
1.22 |
Drivers of Global Growth and
Rebalancing |
Chart |
Data |
1.23 |
Commodity Prices |
Chart |
Data |
1.24 |
World Energy Market Developments
|
Chart |
Data |
1.25 |
Developments in Base Metal
Markets |
Chart |
Data |
1.26 |
Recent Developments in Markets
for Major Food Crops |
Chart |
Data |
2.1 |
Current Global Growth versus
Precrisis Average |
Chart |
Data |
2.2 |
Output Gaps and Inflation |
Chart |
Data |
2.3 |
United States and Canada:
Current Growth versus Precrisis Average |
Chart |
Data |
2.4 |
United States: Struggling to
Gain a Foothold |
Chart |
Data |
2.5 |
Europe: Current Growth versus
Precrisis Average |
Chart |
Data |
2.6 |
Europe: An Uneven Performance
and Elevated Risks |
Chart |
Data |
2.7 |
Commonwealth of Independent
States: Current Growth versus Precrisis Average |
Chart |
Data |
2.8 |
Commonwealth of Independent
States: A Gradual Recovery |
Chart |
Data |
2.9 |
Asia: Current Growth versus
Precrisis Average |
Chart |
Data |
2.10 |
Asia: A Bright Spot in the World
Economy |
Chart |
Data |
2.11 |
Latin America and the Caribbean:
Current Growth versus Precrisis Average |
Chart |
Data |
2.12 |
Latin America: Maintaining the
Growth Momentum |
Chart |
Data |
2.13 |
Sub-Saharan Africa: Current
Growth versus Precrisis Average |
Chart |
Data |
2.14 |
Sub-Saharan Africa: Continued
Strength |
Chart |
Data |
2.15 |
Middle East and North Africa:
Current Growth versus Precrisis Average |
Chart |
Data |
2.16 |
Middle East and North Africa:
Weakening Activity in an Uncertain Environment |
Chart |
Data |
3.1 |
World Commodity Prices, 2000–11 |
Chart |
Data |
3.2 |
World Commodity Prices,
1957–2011 |
Chart |
Data |
3.3 |
Food Price Forecasts |
Chart |
Data |
3.4 |
Pass-through from World
Inflation to Domestic Inflation |
Chart |
Data |
3.5 |
Variability of Real Domestic
Prices |
Chart |
Data |
3.6 |
Share of Food in the Consumption
Basket |
Chart |
Data |
3.7 |
Contribution of Food and
Transportation to Headline Inflation |
Chart |
Data |
3.8 |
Response of Inflation
Expectations to Inflation Surprises |
Chart |
Data |
3.9 |
Pass-through from International
to Domestic Food Price Inflation |
Chart |
Data |
3.10 |
Response to a Food Price Shock
in a Stylized Emerging and Developing Economy |
Chart |
Data |
3.11 |
Inflation-Output Policy Frontier |
Chart |
Data |
3.12 |
Response to a Food Price Shock
in a Stylized High-Credibility Emerging and Developing Economy |
Chart |
Data |
3.13 |
Response to a Food Price Shock
in a Stylized Advanced Economy |
Chart |
Data |
3.14 |
One-Time versus Persistent Food
Price Shocks |
Chart |
Data |
3.15 |
Response to a Food Price Shock
amid Current Cyclical Conditions |
Chart |
Data |
4.1 |
Incidence of Action-Based Fiscal
Policy Changes by Year |
Chart |
Data |
4.2 |
Effects on the Current Account
of a 1 Percent of GDP Fiscal Consolidation |
Chart |
Data |
4.3 |
Effects on Economic Activity of
a 1 Percent of GDP Fiscal Consolidation |
Chart |
Data |
4.4 |
Effects on Saving and Investment
of a 1 Percent of GDP Fiscal Consolidation |
Chart |
Data |
4.5 |
Effects on the Composition of
Saving and Investment of a 1 Percent of GDP Fiscal Consolidation |
Chart |
Data |
4.6 |
Effects on Export and Import
Volumes of a 1 Percent of GDP Fiscal Consolidation |
Chart |
Data |
4.7 |
Effects on Exchange Rates,
Prices, and Interest Rates of a 1 Percent of GDP Fiscal
Consolidation |
Chart |
Data |
4.8 |
Effects of a 1 Percent of GDP
Fiscal Consolidation under Pegged and Nonpegged Exchange Rate
Regimes |
Chart |
Data |
4.9 |
Effects of a 1 Percent of GDP
Fiscal Consolidation under Constrained Monetary Policy: GIMF
Simulations |
Chart |
Data |
4.10 |
Effects of a Synchronized Global
1 Percent of GDP Fiscal Consolidation: GIMF Simulations |
Chart |
Data |
4.11 |
Planned Fiscal Adjustment and
the Current Account Impact: GIMF Simulations |
Chart |
Data |
4.12 |
Robustness: Effects on the
Current Account of a 1 Percent of GDP Fiscal Consolidation |
Chart |
Data |
4.13 |
Effects on the Current Account
of a 1 Percent of GDP Fiscal Policy Change |
Chart |
Data |
4.14 |
Fiscal Instruments and Their
Effects on the Current Account |