Republic of Moldova
Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper
I. Introduction
1. Over the last
three years Moldova has made significant progress toward achieving
and retaining
macroeconomic and financial stabilization. It has, furthermore,
implemented many
structural and institutional reforms that are required for an efficient
functioning of a
market economy. The results of these efforts have contributed to the
maintenance of
macroeconomic and financial stability under difficult external
circumstances and
the creation of an environment that is conducive to the economy™s
growth and
development in the medium term.
2. Despite these
efforts Moldova continues to have one of the lowest levels of income
per capita in
Europe. The Government is well aware of this reality and is of the view that
rapid and
sustainable growth is the main instrument for reducing the development gap of
the country
relative to the rest of Europe, improving the standard of living of the
population and
reducing the poverty of those most in need. To address these aims in a
comprehensive
fashion the Government is intending to prepare a Poverty Reduction
Strategy Paper (PRSP)
by early 2002 and launch a national poverty reduction plan. This
policy is
consistent with Moldova™s aspirations to become more integrated in Europe. To
strengthen the
policy™s effectiveness, the strategy will be prepared by the Government in
close consultation
with, and broad participation from, representatives of the Parliament,
civil society, and
the donor community.
3. With the aim of
achieving a rapid and sustainable growth path, the Government has
agreed with the
Fund and the Bank staff on a three year macroeconomic framework and a
set of policy
measures, which are described in the attachments to this document. The
Government intends
to request a three-year Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility
(PRGF) arrangement
with the Fund. Furthermore the Government will continue to
cooperate with the
World Bank in the context of structural adjustment and investment
operations.
II.
Characteristics of Poverty in Moldova
4. Existing
studies on Poverty in Moldova include an ethnographic survey of poor
households
conducted in late 1996, the World Bank™s Poverty Assessment and
Moldova™s
Household Budget Surveys which are compiled on a quarterly basis from the
second quarter of
1997 onwards. The evidence generated by these studies suggests that
poverty in Moldova
is high and mainly due to limited job opportunities and low incomes,
especially in
rural areas and in the agricultural sector.
5. International
comparisons reveal that Moldova ranks low in comparison with other
transition
economies in terms of commonly used living standard and human development.2
indicators. Per
capita GDP in Moldova is lower than the average for Former Soviet
Union economies,
and significantly lower than the average for Central European and
Southern European
transition countries. The UNDP™s human development index for
1999 (based on
1997 data) ranks Moldova 104 th out
of the 174 countries ranked. This
ranking is lower
than all the transition countries in Central Europe (33-47), Southeastern
Europe (55-73) and
all the Former Soviet Union economies, with the exception of
Tajikistan that
follows closely behind. Furthermore, the effects of the regional crisis in
1998 and the
drought experienced in the country in 2000 are likely to have had a
continued adverse
effect on the country™s living standards and human development
indicators.
6. The existing
studies indicate that a significant, and growing, share of Moldova™s
population is
poor. In particular, about 35 percent of Moldovans were below an absolute
poverty line of
MDL 82.1 per person in May 1997. Preliminary estimates suggest that
the proportion
increased significantly to over 53 percent by last quarter of 1999 (see
Table 1).
Table 1 Poverty
Using Absolute Poverty Line
1997 Q3 1997 Q4
1998 Q3 1998 Q4 1999 Q3 1999 Q4
P0 30.4
37 41.3 46.1 55.6 53.4
P1 9.7
13.2 15.4 15.8 21.9 19.5
P2 4.7
6.6 7.8 7.5 11.3 9.5
Note: P0 is the
ihheadcountl. for poverty Œ the percentage of households with consumption below
the
poverty line; P1
is a measure of the ihpoverty gaplv or depth of poverty, and P2 is the severity
of poverty.
7. The increase in
poverty has been associated with an increase in inequality. The Gini
coefficient for
income inequality increased from a value of 24 for 1987-1988 to 34.4 in
1992 and 36 in
1993. The 1999 household budget survey finds the Gini coefficient for
consumption to be
around 41, with the richest 20 percent of the population accounting for
almost half of
total consumption in the economy.
8. The existing
studies provide firm evidence that the 1998 regional crisis has had an
adverse effect on
both poverty and inequality. The results of the 1999 household budget
survey indicate
that the gross income of close to 80 percent of households was less than
the subsistence
minimum of MDL 233 per person per month, calculated according to
international
norms. Work undertaken for the formulation of the government™s National
Poverty Reduction
Strategy suggests that over 20 percent of the population may be
classified as
extremely poor, more than two-thirds of which reside in rural areas. As a
result of the
drought, the situation is likely to have deteriorated further in 2000.
9. The poor in
Moldova range from less educated, unskilled workers, or very large
single-parent
families, to highly educated persons who once enjoyed socially prestigious
and well
compensated positions as scientists and professionals. Among the poorest
groups are the
working poor, especially the landless workers in the agricultural sector,
families with
children, families numbering more than 5 members, families with one or
more vulnerable
members, and the unemployed, a third of which are in extreme poverty.
10. Poverty in
Moldova is more prevalent in rural areas. In 1997 the statistics showed
that about 21.1
percent of the population in rural areas were found to be below the.3
relative poverty
line, compared to 17.2 percent of the population of other cities, and 6.7
percent of the
population in Chisinau. The most vulnerable are the agricultural workers:
27 percent of
agricultural workers were below the relative poverty line, as compared to
15 percent of
farmers, and 21 percent of unemployed.
11. Despite their
capacity to produce some of their own food Œ which has kept many
rural poor out of
extreme poverty Œ conditions in rural areas remain difficult. Many rural
households survive
on subsistence farming. Agricultural households interested in
farming lack the
means to expand into more profitable farm activities. Cash-poor, with
fewer
opportunities to obtain credit, these households are unable to branch into more
profitable crops
because they cannot afford equipment, fertilizers, pesticides, seeds or
irrigation.
Although the country has made good progress in farm restructuring and land
privatization, the
reforms were delayed until the collective farms had largely collapsed
along with the
processing/marketing system that supported the agricultural sector. A
promising
development has been the land consolidation that is underway following the
privatization of
land. It has, nevertheless, failed to produce an increase in agricultural
output to date.
12. The poverty
increase in Moldova over the transition period is the combined result of
a number of
developments, both external and domestic. These include: (a) the effect of
the dissolution of
the Soviet Union, the accompanied disruption of trade and payments
and, especially,
the price shock which accompanied the liberalization of the price of
energy, a key (and
imported) component of Moldova™s domestic costs. A comparative
study undertaken
by the World Bank suggests that Moldova was the hardest hit country
of the Former
Soviet Union by the terms-of-trade effect which accompanied the
movement of
domestic energy prices towards international prices; (b) the conflict with
Transnistria in
1992 and a series of natural disasters and their effect on the country™s
agricultural
sector and agro-processing, which account for around half of the country™s
GDP. These include
floods in 1992 and 1994 and the 2000 drought; (c) the continuing
regional
instability and, especially, the effects of the Russian crisis of 1998. The
above
exogenous factors
were exacerbated by intermittent policy reversals in the
implementation of
the country™s structural reform program.
13. The Government
intends to design a comprehensive and participatory program aimed
at ensuring the
economy™s sustainable growth and development in the medium term and
explicitly
tackling the issue of poverty in the country. A sustained effort has and will
continue to be
made to update the available poverty database in order to enhance the
impact of the
program™s poverty alleviation measures. A collaborative program
supported by the
UNDP was signed in August 2000 aiming at developing further the
informational
instruments and policymaking in the social sector and improving the
institutional
structure for assessing and monitoring the poverty alleviation impact of
policies. Work is
currently underway in order to identify knowledge gaps, and specify
the analytical
work necessary for the preparation of the full PRSP.
III. Three Pillars
of a Poverty Reduction Strategy
14. The government™s
poverty reduction strategy will be founded on three pillars: (i)
sustainable and
inclusive economic growth that will provide the population with.4
productive
employment; (ii) human development policies emphasizing increased access
to basic services
(especially primary medical services and primary education); and (iii)
social protection
policies targeting those most in need.
15. The government™s
poverty reduction strategy will focus on a fair distribution of the
benefits of growth
for the entire population and will take into account the existing social
capital at the
community level. The PRSP approach provides Moldova with the
opportunity to
clearly address poverty reduction as an explicit policy goal and formulate
the strategy in a
participatory fashion thereby increasing ownership.
A. Sustainable and
Inclusive Economic Growth
16. The Government
will maintain a stable macroeconomic environment tailored to the
country™s
financing constraints and conducive to the economy™s growth and development
in the medium
term. The program aims at consolidating the stabilization achieved in the
first ten months
of the year and providing the conditions for the economy™s sustained
growth and
development in the medium term. The Government has, in consultation with
the IMF,
elaborated a macroeconomic framework for the next three years. The program
projects that
Moldova™s economy will expand at a growth rate of around 5 percent a year
over the medium
term. Its main elements appear in Appendix A of this document.
17. The promotion
of sustainable growth and inclusive development is the overarching
priority in the
government™s development and poverty reduction strategy. And
sustainable growth
in the medium term is likely to stem from the development of private
sector activities
in areas where the country has a comparative advantage. These areas are
likely to include
the agro-industrial sector, the small and medium enterprise sector and
the service
sector, i.e. areas that either reflect the country™s endowments or were
underdeveloped
under the command economy. A detailed study will be conducted to
identify the
sources of economic growth in Moldova.
18. The Government
is of the view that sustainable and rapid economic growth will be
achieved through a
model of development based on private sector growth and the
development of
export industries in areas where Moldova has a comparative advantage.
The development of
the private sector is essential for the creation of a market economy
and for reaping
the benefits associated with a well functioning market system. The
Government plans
to develop an export led-growth strategy with an aim to diversify
export products
based on its comparative advantage and gain access to non-traditional
export markets.
19. The Government
remains committed to further progress in its structural reform
program that will
promote the creation of a stable and predictable framework to facilitate
private sector
activities, attract foreign direct investment, as well as increase domestic
investment. Toward
this end, the Government intends to adopt structural measures
including
financial sector reform to increase access to cheaper credit necessary for the
development of
private enterprises, privatization of key strategic industries, enterprise
restructuring,
improved business environment, deregulation of the private sector,
rationalization of
licensing and registration, improved corporate governance, and.5
improved
institutional and legislative environment conducive to foreign and domestic
investment.
20. With regard to
the government™s privatization program, emphasis will be placed on
the open and
transparent privatization of the energy sector (three electricity distribution
companies were
already sold to a strategic investor and tenders were already launched for
the remaining two
distribution companies and the three power generating companies), the
telecommunication
sector (with the privatization of ifMoldtelecomli), and the wine sector.
The land
privatization program is close to completion.
21. With regard to
enterprise restructuring, the bankruptcy and liquidation of enterprises
with significant
debts will continue throughout the period. Bankruptcy and liquidation
procedures have
already been initiated against firms with significant arrears to the state
and Social Fund
budgets. The legislative framework for efficient corporate governance
will be improved
further. The Government will identify specific measures in this area
with donor
assistance.
22. Finally, a
sustained effort will be made to create a better investment climate by
eliminating
barriers to entry for new enterprises. This includes the simplification of entry
procedures
(through the simplification of licensing and registration requirements) and the
improvements in
the legal framework required for the further growth and development of
private sector
activities in Moldova.
23. Poverty
reduction through sustainable and inclusive growth requires not only a
dynamic private
sector but also an efficient public sector that can operate in a transparent
and accountable
fashion and are accessible to the entire population. The Government has
recently adopted a
comprehensive Public Sector Reform Strategy that aims to build
market-oriented
and service/client oriented, merit-based, de-politicized and corruption-
resistant public
sector, which meets EU "best practice" standards; is affordable and
fiscally
sustainable; and ensures cost-effective delivery of priority public goods and
services and
interacts with and supports the development of the private sector.
24. The government™s
public sector reform program supported by the World Bank under
the planned series
of Public Sector Reform Credits will include:
• the
rationalization and more efficient targeting of social sector expenditures
(including health,
education and social assistance expenditures);
• the
promotion of a comprehensive public administration and civil service reform
aiming at:
modernizing and re-orienting the role of the state from directing and
controlling
economic activity towards transparently facilitating the growth and
development of the
private sector, restoring public and business confidence in state
institutions, and
decentralizing authority to a reorganized and strengthened system of
local
administration;
• the
strengthening of the legal and judiciary systems;
• the
tackling of corrupt practices in the areas of state capture (which restricts
competition and
domestic and foreign direct investment in the economy) and
administration
(the burden of which is borne disproportionately by the poor)..6
• the
improvement in the management of public expenditures (including the reform of
the budget process
and budget execution, as well as the cash and debt management),
the further
strengthening of the system of intergovernmental finance, and the further
improvement of the
government™s revenue performance and strategy:
25. As noted
already, poverty in Moldova is especially prevalent in rural areas. In
parallel to the
above measures, the Government will give high priority to agricultural and
rural development
to address the existing constraints in the development of the rural areas
and generate
employment and income on a sustainable basis. The Government will
develop and adopt
a comprehensive agricultural and rural development strategy to set
aims and
priorities and determine the content and sequencing of policy interventions.
The overall
objective of the strategy is the increase in rural incomes and living standards
by promoting rural
entrepreneurship, agricultural production, economic diversification,
and trade in rural
areas.
26. The above
reforms as well as those measures geared more specifically towards
poverty reduction
are summarized in the attached policy matrix (Appendix B). The
outlined policy
commitments and targets for the outer years are tentative. They will thus
need to be revised
when the interim PRSP is replaced by the full PRSP.
B. Human
Development
27. The Government
is of the view that economic growth that does not translate into
improvements in
the standard of living for everyone is socially, economically and
environmentally
unsustainable. The promotion of sustainable human development in the
Republic of
Moldova would mean strengthening social cohesion through a precise
identification of
the sources and consequences of social exclusion and the elaboration of
necessary policies
to address these in order to meet the basic needs of the most vulnerable
layers of the
population.
28. The Government
will promote human development through the design and
implementation of
comprehensive and integrated strategies aiming at sustainable
improvements in
health and education. The strong correlation between poverty and
related human
development indices provide firm support for the poverty alleviation
impact of human
development programs; improvements in health and education have a
direct effect on
poverty reduction. They, furthermore, entail significant positive
externalities for
the improvement in the economy™s supply side and the promotion of
sustainable and
inclusive economic growth within a socially cohesive society. Moldova
has few natural
resources and its human capital could become the main source of
economic growth.
Health
29. Over the
transition period the health situation in the country has deteriorated
significantly with
a steep decline in health expenditures (which accounted for only 2.9
percent of GDP in
1999 down from 6 percent in 1997), a decline in life expectancy, and
an increase in the
number of people suffering from diseases.
30. The government™s
health care strategy aims at:.7
• Maintaining
the level of health expenditures in real terms at least at the level of the
2000 budget;
• Instituting
poverty reduction interventions, such as emphasizing primary health care
and disease
prevention;
• Improving
the allocation of resources to make it more equitable and efficient,
including the
restructuring of the provider network;
• Developing
health services autonomy, especially for hospitals; and
• Training
general practitioners and health managers.
31. In the short
run the health reform aims at:
• Guaranteeing
transparent access to a minimum package of health services which are
affordable to the
state and for which the state™s commitments are fully funded;
• Modernizing
emergency services and primary health care;
• Strengthening
the health sector™s institutional capacity while reducing excess
capacity; and
• Supporting
the development of TB and HIV/AIDS Strategies.
Education
32. Mirroring
developments in health, education over the transition period has
deteriorated
significantly with a steep decline in enrollment rates, chronic absenteeism
among poor
children, lower participation of poor students in upper secondary and tertiary
education, and
reduction in education expenditures (which accounted for around 4.7
percent of GDP in
1999 down from 10 percent in 1997). Given the importance of
education in
providing its recipients with the means for a sustained reduction in poverty
and the positive
externalities of human capital development for the country at large, the
Government remains
committed to a sustained effort to improve the country™s
educational
sector.
33. In particular
the government™s education policy aims to improve the efficiency of the
educational system
while maintaining fiscal sustainability. The Government, with
assistance from
the World Bank, is preparing an Education Sector Strategy that will make
specific
recommendations for achieving these objectives. The government™s strategy will
include the
following components:
• Promotion
of access to, and retention in, basic and secondary education for poor
students.
• Improvements
in the governance and accountability of the education system.
• Undertaking
an analysis of the decline in gross enrollment rates in basic education
over the
transition period..8
• Review
the structure of the secondary education system in order to make it more
appropriate to
current demands in the labor market and identify measures for
improving the
quality of secondary schooling.
• Review
curriculum standards and address issues related to the quality and
remuneration of
teaching staff for the entire education system.
• Develop
analytic data bases including: an education management information system
that includes a
school mapping data base, financing data, and human resources data; a
study of informal
payments by families at all levels of education; and a study of
alternative ways
to save energy in schools.
C. Social
Protection
34. The Government
recognizes that the reform of the country™s social protection system
is necessary in
order to provide fiscally sustainable and well-targeted assistance to those
in need. In the
past Moldova™s social protection system relied on pensions supplemented
by poorly targeted
and, to a large extent, under-financed benefits and privileges. Work
undertaken by the
Government in the process of formulating its national program for
poverty
alleviation suggests that over one-third of Moldova™s population enjoyed
privileges which
were both poorly targeted and expensive, accounting for around 8
percent of Moldova™s
GDP in 1998.
35. Recent
developments in social protection in Moldova have included the
rationalization of
energy and, partially, transport subsidies by eliminating the old system
and approving a
fully funded and targeted compensation scheme based on category
targeting which is
paid in cash and directly to recipients. The Law on the special social
protection of
certain categories of population, that eliminated non-targeted energy
subsidies and
limited energy privileges to the nine categories representing the most
vulnerable
segments of society, is likely to have a beneficial effect on government
finances and
improve significantly the efficiency and targeting of the government™s social
assistance
program.
36. Designing a
social assistance system that is transparent, fully funded, fiscally
sustainable, and
well targeted will be the focus of the next phase of the social protection
policy
development. The modification and establishment of various policy parameters
(e.g. minimum wage
and subsistence minimum) needs to be based on financial and
economic analysis
of their link and impact on social benefit programs. Under the
constraint of
lacking a reliable income certification process, future social assistance
system would need
to rely on a combination of targeting mechanisms and will consist of
a mixture of
programs at national levels and local levels.
37. It is
conceivable that programs targeted to families with children, particularly those
with many
children, would need to be at the center of the national social assistance
program, given
that poverty analysis suggests that these families tend to be among the
most poor.
Analyzing options to rationalize existing child benefits would be the first step
in this direction.
Options of direct in-kind assistance to children of school age could be
considered as a
measure to supplement cash transfers while at the same time encouraging.9
school attendance.
The Government is currently working with development partners
(UNICEF, European
Trust, and SIDA) to pilot de-institutionalization programs. The
World Bank has
also been supporting this effort through the Social Investment Fund
project.
38. With regard to
the reform of the pension system the Government remains committed
to strengthening
the linkage between contributions and benefits, eliminating privileged
pensions and
tightening eligibility criteria, making the system more transparent (with a
clearly specified
benefit formula and indexation rule and establishing an individual
pension record for
everybody).
39. As a second
element of the social protection program, work on improving the
functioning of
labor markets and the protection of those in poverty while unemployed,
together with
improved access to job search and job creation services will be undertaken.
Finally it is
envisaged that locally administered programs will be an important element in
the social
assistance system. Nevertheless, a thorough analysis of the available options
and monitoring
mechanisms is necessary in order to ensure that the programs would be
sustainable and
can assist the poor in an efficient and equitable manner.
40. The employment
policy and labor market development is an important area of the
government™s
poverty program. To facilitate the development of a flexible labor market
which would lead
to a more efficient use of the labor force, the government™s strategy
will include: (a)
a comprehensive analysis of the labor market developments and the
impact of
structural reforms on the employment, job creation and wage adjustment; (b)
the identification
and removal of the legal constraints on the functioning of a flexible
labor market; (c)
the evaluation of the efficiency of the existing labor market programs
such as job
searching and retraining and work out a new design. The Government has
identified
technical assistance needed in the following areas: (a) labor market monitoring,
(b) legislative
review and development, and (c) employment assistance program design.
41. The Government
will place particular emphasis on alleviating child poverty. The
available studies
suggest that households with children are the most vulnerable group in
Moldova.
Furthermore there is firm evidence of an increase in child malnutrition.
42. The government™s
national poverty reduction program aims at addressing the issue of
child poverty
through focused and well-targeted interventions within the limits imposed
by the country™s
financial situation. These include interventions aiming at ensuring
adequate levels of
food security and childcare, and the social protection of orphans and
disabled children.
To achieve these objectives, the Government will need technical
assistance to
conduct analytical work that is required to assist in the redesign of the child
assistance
program..10
IV. Institutional
Mechanisms for the PRSP
A. Institutional
Arrangements
43. The Government
has established a PRSP Steering Committee to oversee the
development of the
poverty reduction strategy. The First Vice-Prime Minister and
Minister of
Economy and Reforms will act as the coordinator for the preparation of the
PRSP. An
inter-ministerial PRSP Working Group, reporting to the First Vice-Prime
Minister and
Minister of Economy and Reforms and the Steering Committee, has been
set up and will be
responsible for the day-to-day management of the PRSP exercise and
for the
preparation of the draft PRSP. In the sectors in which government policies and
programs can have
a significant impact on poverty reduction, Sector Working Groups
(SWGs) have been
or will be established and will be responsible both for the
development of
policies and strategies for inclusive development and for defining priority
programs and
measures within the sector public expenditure program.
B. Measures to
Strengthen Public Expenditure Management
44. The efficient
implementation of the government's poverty reduction strategy requires
that weaknesses in
the planning and management of public expenditure be addressed.
Under the
government's Public Sector Reform Program, the Government aims to build a
robust,
sustainable and effective public sector resource management system which
provides for high
levels of fiscal control (hard budget constraints at all levels of
government);
strategic prioritization (allocative efficiency in budget formulation and
expenditure review
and prioritization at all levels of government); and technical
efficiency in
budget execution (at all levels of government). Specific measures are
already being
developed and implemented to: (i) introduce a strategic approach to the
prioritization of
public expenditure under which expenditure decisions are explicitly
linked to
government policies; (ii) adopt a three year time horizon for the programming
of public
expenditure, thus placing the design of expenditure policy in a medium-term
framework; (iii)
refocus of budget management towards placing emphasis on the
realization of
outputs and outcomes rather than the utilization of inputs and perceived
needs. In addition
measures have and will continue to be taken throughout the period in
order to improve
the monitoring of public expenditures and ensure that resources reach
the intended
beneficiaries.
45. The Government
recognizes that effective implementation of the expenditure policy
will require
significant increases in capacity at the center of Government; in the Ministry
of Finance; and in
line Ministries. These capacity-building measures will be addressed
under the
government's Public Sector Reform Program, to be supported by World Bank™s
Public Sector
Reform Credits. With the assistance of Moldova™s development partners
the Government has
begun to address these requirements through the introduction of a
medium-term
expenditure framework (MTEF) and other initiatives to strengthen budget
implementation
procedures. The MTEF process will ensure that sector policies and
public
expenditures have a clear poverty reduction focus and are designed taking into
consideration the
country™s available financial resources..11
46. The Government
will continue its efforts aimed at improving budget implementation.
Past work
undertaken with the support of international organizations included a revision
of the budget
classification system to strengthen the targeting and monitoring of public
expenditure,
establishing a central treasury system, and implementing the law on local
public finance
which is related to law on administrative and territorial reforms. Further
work will be
undertaken aiming at improving Treasury operations to ensure the more
timely release and
predictability of funds and better timely reporting of expenditure and
increasing
responsibility and accountability of local governments for service delivery that
could be more
effectively carried out by the local governments, complying with
minimum standards
of public financial management to ensure that public resources are
being used to
achieve the government™s poverty reduction goals, and promoting broad
participation of
the public by publishing information on the MTEF, the budget and
accounts.
47. To
successfully implement the law on Local Public Finance, the Government is well
aware of the need
to strengthen the capacity of local governments over the medium and
long-term.
Currently, the Government is working with development partners to improve
and streamline the
budget execution at the local government levels. Plans are being
developed to build
the capacity of local governments and to streamline the system of
inter-government
fiscal relations including a thorough reviewing of the existing
legislation on the
budget system, territorial administration, local public finance; adjusting
the assignment of
expenditures; and finalizing the regulation of transfer of property rights
to sub-national
governments.
48. The
preparation of the PRSP will be closely linked with the MTEF process in
ensuring
consistency between the government's poverty reduction strategy, its
expenditure plans
and the country™s available financial resources.
V. Participatory
Process and Timetable for the PRSP
49. The interim
PRSP was prepared by the Ministry of Economy and Reforms following
consultations with
line ministries, other government entities and Parliament. Comments
were also sought
from representatives of international organizations and the donor
community,
including the IMF, the World Bank, and EC/Tacis.
50. The
preparation of the interim PRSP was launched in July 2000 with the setting up of
an
inter-ministerial working group as well as sectoral working groups in line
ministries
that focused on
the poverty reduction strategy. With assistance from Moldova™s
international
partners meetings were conducted to alert government officials, civil
society, and
donors about the new initiative and, in particular, the participatory aspect of
the PRSP exercise.
51. The Government
is committed to the participatory approach for the formulation,
implementation and
monitoring of the PRSP, which is outlined in Appendix D. Based on
an analysis of the
current level of participation in Moldova, a complete stakeholder
analysis will be
carried out. In preparation for this analysis the Government is in the.12
process of
compiling a list of organizations identified as important in areas relevant to
the
PRSP process.
Following this analysis, the Government will commit to clear and
transparent
selection criteria for the participation in the consultation process, to ensure
broad
representation of domestic and international stakeholders in the PRSP exercise.
52. The Government
is committed to provide information on the PRSP process and
consult widely
with its domestic and international development partners. The
Government will
continue to disseminate widely background information for the PRSP
process to
relevant stakeholders through a sustained public awareness exercise and the
posting of
relevant information in the government™s web site. Institutional mechanisms
for the
consultations with stakeholders will include interviews, focus groups,
workshops,
and conferences.
The participatory process for the PRSP will culminate in a stakeholder
workshop with the
aim to validate and finalize the Poverty Reduction Strategy in October
2001. By the end
of 2001, the Government will produce the full-PRSP incorporating the
contributions of
all stakeholders. The work plan for the preparation of the PRSP is
outlined in
Appendix D.
VI. Monitoring
Indicators
53. The Government
has and will continue to undertake a series of measures in order to
improve and/or
establish appropriate mechanisms for the regular and timely collection,
analysis and
publication of the database required for the monitoring of social indicators
relevant to the
PRSP process. The Department of Statistics, in cooperation with
development
partners that will be identified soon, will compile a poverty update based on
the 2000 Household
Budget Survey. A qualitative participatory poverty assessment will
also be conducted
by September 2001.
54. In addition to
improving the database, the Government will, with the support of
Moldova™s
development partners, undertake a sustained effort throughout the period to
improve the
analytical and research capability necessary in order to understand the nature
and causes of
poverty in the country. This will improve both the design as well as the
monitoring of the
impact of its policy interventions. The results of all information
gathering
activities and the relevant analytical work will be widely publicized and the
Government is
committed to consult with relevant stakeholders on these results through
appropriate
channels, including interviews, workshops and conferences.
55. At present,
the Government intends to monitor the progress of its poverty reduction
strategy based on
a set of indicators consisting of (i) male and female life expectancy, (ii)
death rate and
natural increase in population, (iii) infant mortality rate, (iv) maternal
mortality rate,
(v) under-five mortality rate, (vi) immunization rates, (vii) basic education
enrollment rate,
and (viii) secondary education enrollment rate. A list of the relevant
indicators for
Moldova appears in Appendix C. In addition, the results of the 2000
Household Budget
Survey and other related work, most notably the program supported
by the UNDP aiming
at developing further the informational instruments and
policymaking in
the social sector and improving the institutional structure for assessing
and monitoring the
poverty alleviation impact of policies, will be used to assess progress.. 1
Appendix A: A
Three-year Macroeconomic Framework
I. Introduction
1. Rapid and
sustainable growth is the main instrument for improving the standard of
living of the
population and reducing the poverty of those most in need. The
government’s
macroeconomic policies aim at consolidating the stabilization achieved
under difficult
external circumstances over the first ten months of the current year and
providing the
preconditions for the economy’s sustained growth and development in
the medium term.
II. Current
Policies and Recent Developments
2. In the current
year the absence of external financing required an urgent adjustment
in the
government’s fiscal policy aiming at containing the budget deficit and
maintaining
macroeconomic stability. Revenues were higher than budgeted due to
improvements in
tax collection and higher profit transfers from the National Bank of
Moldova to the
state budget. Furthermore, netting-out operations of the consolidated
budget remained
well below the envisaged 5 percent ceiling. Most of the fiscal policy
adjustment has,
however, come about through a reduction in government expenditures.
In particular
government expenditures were reduced despite the increase in the wages
and salaries of
public sector employees in the health and education sectors.
Furthermore, over
the first six months of the current year the government reduced the
stock of pension
arrears and wage arrears of public sector employees by 190 Million lei
and, for the first
time, repaid a part of its debts to the National Bank of Moldova.
3. Monetary policy
was tightened with the monetary base growing by 17.8 percent in
the first nine
months of 2000 compared to 33.8 percent over the same period in 1999.
Over the first
nine months of the current year, inflation decelerated to 15.5 percent
(with 12 months
inflation falling to 29.2 percent relative to 43.8 percent at end-1999).
The exchange rate
stabilized. National Bank purchases of foreign currency increased
gross
international reserves to over USD 200 million, up from USD 180 millions at
end-1999. The
minimum capital requirements of commercial banks were increased,
resulting in some
consolidation in Moldova’s banking sector.
4. A recent
adverse development has been the severe drought that occurred in early
summer. Given the
primary importance of agriculture and the agro-processing sector
for the
country’s economy, the drought is likely to have a significant adverse on
government
finances and Moldova’s GDP evolution, which is likely to remain
unchanged in
comparison with last year.
III. Future
Policies
5. Turning into
the future policies and projections the program envisages that
Moldova’s
economy will expand by about 5 percent a year over the medium term.
Inflation is
programmed to decelerate further, reaching the level of 10 percent by
end-2001..2
6. The
government’s fiscal policies will remain tight throughout the period, with the
budget deficit on
a commitment basis accounting for around 1 -2 percent of GDP
throughout the
programmed period. Further improvements in revenue collection are
foreseen through
improvements in the efficiency of the tax administration. A sustained
effort will be
made throughout the period to further consolidate non-priority
government
expenditures, while improving the efficiency and targeting of the
expenditure
program in line with the government’s fiscal reform and poverty
alleviation
program.
7. Monetary policy
will remain tight. Reserve money is programmed to increase at
slightly over the
rate of growth of prices, allowing for a slight increase in money
demand over the
period. The government’s prudent monetary and fiscal stance will
allow the increase
in credit to the economy’s private sector. The exchange rate will
continue to
reflect market conditions, with intervention in the foreign exchange market
limited to
smoothing-out short run fluctuations. Gross international reserves are
programmed to
increase throughout the period reaching the equivalent of over 3
months coverage of
imports by the end of 2001.
8. The Government
is of the view that the maintenance of Moldova’s open and
liberal trade
regime is essential for encouraging investment and facilitating the
country’s export
– led growth and poverty reduction strategy. The Government will
thus refrain from
increasing import tariffs and intensifying trade restrictions, especially
on the export
side. The current account deficit will remain modest, averaging around 6
percent of
Moldova’s GDP throughout the programmed period, and following a
downward trend
reflecting efficiency gains in energy consumption and robust export
growth. The
deficit will be financed in part through foreign direct investment inflows
tied to
privatization and other investment projects.
9. The government
is well aware of the need to reduce the stock of debt and the
debt-service
burden over the period. The latter will peak in 2002 accounting for over
28 percent of
exports of goods and services. The Government intends to earmark a part
of privatization
receipts for debt servicing or use them to retire debt. An effort will
also be made to
initiate and/or complete rescheduling discussions with creditors.
10. Underpinning
the above macroeconomic policy, the Government is of the view
that structural
reforms are necessary in order to ensure the economy’s growth and
development in the
medium term. It, therefore, remains committed to further progress
in its structural
reform program whose measures are outlined in the Appendix B..1
APPENDIX B: Policy
Measures for Sustainable and Inclusive Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction
2001-2003
Sector/Policy Area
Objectives Strategies or Measures Timing
A. Sustainable and
Inclusive Economic Growth
1. Macroeconomic
Framework Acceleration and Sustainable Economic Growth
a) Overall Fiscal
Policy Create stable macroeconomic environment
conducive to
economic growth through prudent
fiscal policy
1. Approve a
budget consistent with program objectives. The overall cash
deficit of the
consolidated budget (IMF definition) should be no more than
MDL 400 million
lei.
2001
2. Collect tax and
non-tax revenue of the central and local budgets in cash and
further reduce the
share of netting-out operations to 3 percent.
2001
b) Tax Policy
Broaden tax base to ensure equity and efficient tax
system and
improved tax effort
1. Submission to
the Parliament of a draft code on local taxes and fees. 2nd half of 2001
2. Parliamentary
approval of tax administration chapter of tax code. Mar-01
3. Approval of the
law on real estate and the property valuation method. 2nd half of 2001
4. Refrain from
introducing new exemptions and providing tax privileges. 2001
5. Eliminate zero
rates on energy and refrain from setting zero rates. 2003
Simplify tax
regime for small enterprises Analyze applicability of a presumptive tax law on
small enterprises to draw new
private business
into the tax net.
2002
Rationalize excise
taxes 1. Eliminate excise tax on all goods except tobacco products, alcohol and
alcoholic
beverages, imported cars, and petroleum products, while increasing
the rates on these
respective products.
2003
2. Introduce ad
valorem excise taxes (whenever
possible). 2002.2
Sector/Policy Area
Objectives Strategies or Measures Timing
Improve efficiency
of Social Fund's collections 1. In-kind collections will be restricted to
agricultural products, foodstuffs, and
communal services.
2001
2. According to an
agreed schedule move to a cash-only basis for Social
contribution
collections.
2003
c) Public
Expenditure Policy Eliminate budgetary arrears 1. Reduce stock of budgetary
arrears by at least 100 million. 2001
2. Eliminate
arrears for pensions and wages. 2002
3. Verify, with
the assistance from the IMF, outstanding claims on government,
including those
related to energy, and adopt a plan to restructure the verified
claims.
2001
4. Refrain from
accumulating any new budgetary arrears (including for energy). Continuous
Limit subsidies in
the budget 1. Rationalize subsidies to the agricultural sector (Agricultural
Support Fund). Continuous
2. Abstain from
introducing unfunded and/or untargeted privileges for energy
consumption.
Continuous
d) Monetary Policy
and Financial
Sector Reform
(i) Monetary
Policy Lower inflation and interest rate on credit 1. Target reserve money
growth that is consistent with the inflation target. Continuous
2. Maintain stock
of gross international reserves equivalent to three months of
import coverage.
2001
3. Gradually lower
reserve requirements. Continuous
4. Steady
conversion of the stock of central bank credit to the government into
treasury bills.
Continuous
5. Continue with
quarterly profit transfer mechanism for the NBM profits to the
government based
on realized net revenue.
Continuous
(ii) Financial
Sector Reforms Amend the financial institution law Submission to the Parliament
of amendments to the law on financial institutions
in order to
transfer responsibility of nominating the administrators and the
liquidation of
banks to the courts.
2001, IQ
Improve bankruptcy
and collateral procedures Submission to Parliament of draft laws on Bankruptcy
and Collateral. 2001
Combat money
laundering Approval of Law on Money Laundering Prevention and Combating. 2002. 3
Sector/Policy Area
Objectives Strategies or Measures Timing
e) Exchange Rate
and Trade
Policy
(i) Exchange Rate
Policy Maintain stable and competitive exchange rate
policy
Continue to
maintain an exchange and payments system that is free of
restrictions on
current international transactions.
Continuous
(ii) Trade Policy
Liberalize foreign trade 1. Refrain from increasing import tariffs. 2001
2. Eliminate
remaining export bans (e.g. on wheat) and refrain from introducing
new ones.
Continuous
f) Public Debt
Policy and
Management
(i) Public Debt
Policy Prudent public debt policy Complete and implement the Government’s
public debt strategy. 2001-2003
(ii) Public Debt
Management Strengthen debt management department 1. Merge departments dealing
with domestic and external debt. First quarter, 2001
2. Improve
analytical capacity for asset and liability management. In particular,
(a) improve cash
management practices, and (b) link borrowing strategy to debt
sustainability and
debt service profile analysis.
Continuous
3. Strengthen
capacity for dealing with on lending -- both issuance and
collection.
2001
4. Develop a
strategy for collection and settlement of guarantee portfolio;
implement
strategy.
2001
2. Public Sector
Reform Build a market-oriented
and service/client oriented,
merit-based,
de-politicized, and corruption resistant
public
administration that meets EU "best practice"
standards, and is
affordable and fiscally sustainable
a) Public
Administration and
Civil Service
Reform of public
administration and civil service 1. Adopt Public Administration and Civil
Service Reform Strategies and an
action plan for
their implementation.
2001
2. Complete survey
of wages and benefits of public servants and budgetary
sector employees
and publish wage grid and information about other benefits.
2001
b) Fiscal
Decentralization and
Local Government
Reform
.
Streamline
inter-government fiscal relations 1. Review the existing organic laws on the
budget system, territorial
administration,
local public finance, and Tax Codes aiming at removing
inconsistencies.
mid 2001
2. Finalize the
transfer of property rights to subnational governments. End 2000. 4
Sector/Policy Area
Objectives Strategies or Measures Timing
c) Public Resource
Management
(i) Public
Expenditure
Management
Streamline and
improve budget Management Implement the medium-term expenditure framework (MTEF)
with assistance
from donors.
2002
Strengthen
treasury management 1. Extend the coverage of the treasury to local governments.
2001
2. Establish a
Cash Management Unit in the Treasury to improve the system of
cash forecasting
and operational cash management.
2001
Strengthen Social
Fund management Develop an action plan for rationalizing the social assistance
policy and
strengthening
expenditure management of the Social Fund.
2001
(ii) Tax
Administration Strengthen tax administration 1. Reorganize the large Taxpayer
Unit in line with IMF recommendations. 2001
2. Develop
comprehensive debts collection enforcement program and a
reporting system
for the State Tax Inspectorate (STI) to monitor the collection
of arrears at all
levels of the tax administration. Develop an audit strategy for
the STI that
includes a broader coverage of taxpayers, improved automation,
and improve
selection techniques, and audit methods.
2001
3. Submit a plan
to revise the fiscal posts system
and implement the plan. 2001
Ensure that the
STI is the only collection agency of
cash contributions
Rationalize social
contribution collection to ensure that the STI can effectively
serve as the sole
collection agency when in-kind collection phases out; develop
operational
arrangement for the timely transfer of information between STI and
the National
Social Insurance House.
2002
(iii) Customs
Administration Modernize customs administration Implement ASYCUDA System. 2001
3. Private Sector
Development Encourage private
sector-led-growth
a) Overall Sector
Strategy 1. Conduct a growth study to determine the sources of growth based on
the
country’s
comparative advantage.
2001
2. Develop an
export promotion strategy. 2001. 5
Sector/Policy Area
Objectives Strategies or Measures Timing
b) Policy
Framework for
Attraction of
Foreign Direct
Investment and
Promote Small and
Medium Enterprises
Improve business
environment 1. Compile and analyze surveys and reviews in the area of barriers
to private
sector activities.
2001
2. Identify
measures for additional study, if any, in this area. 2001
3. Develop an
action plan including specific proposal for eliminating barriers
and encouraging
economic activities.
2001
Deregulate the
private sector with an aim to improve
public sector
interaction vis-a-vis the private sector
1. Adopt an action
plan to establish a consultative mechanism to review all
regulations
affecting business and to equip it with technical capacity to review
proposals for new
and/or existing laws, regulations, and policies.
2001
2. Set a limit on
the number and frequency of inspections and implement a
mechanism for
enforcing the limit (such as establishing and checking official
inspection
registries at each enterprise).
2001
Rationalize the
licensing regime 1. Review all licenses in the law on licensing. 2001
2. Eliminate all
unnecessary licenses.
Streamline the
registration process 1. Combine all registration information (name, finance
operation, police
registration,
etc.) into one form, which is processed through one window in one
government agency.
2001
2. Eliminate
re-registration of business, except in the cases of explicit material
changes in the
enterprise.
2001
3. All
re-registration and updates should be handled through the same window
as original
registration and in the same manner.
2001
Improve corporate
governance 1. Improve the legal framework for corporate governance:
(a) Clarify land
ownership rights of enterprises,
(b) Review
regulations and operations of investment funds with the
purpose of
strengthening their corporate governance and efficiency,
and
(c) Develop action
plan(s) to improve corporate governance (including
achievement of
transparent accounting standards, protection of
minority
shareholder rights, establishment of transparency and
clearly defined
rules for stock market operations and improved
market
supervision).
2001. 6
Sector/Policy Area
Objectives Strategies or Measures Timing
2. Initiate
bankruptcy/restructuring procedures against 24 loss-making firms
with arrears to
the budget exceeding MDL 3 million.
2000
3. Parliamentary
approval of a market oriented Civil Code. 2001
c) Privatization
of Key Strategic
Sectors
(i) Wineries 1.
Parliamentary approval of the individual privatization plans for five wineries.
2000
2. Launch tender
for sale of 5 main state wineries. 2001
(ii) Tobacco 1.
Carry out policy review that addresses issues of competition policy, tax and
trade policy,
health and environmental issues and tobacco control.
2001 Privatize and
rejuvenate the tobacco sector in a way
that maximizes
growth and revenue benefits, but
minimizes negative
externalities, including threats
to health of the
population. 2. Develop tobacco control programs in collaboration with the
Ministry of
Health.
2001
3. Prepare a
privatization strategy for the sector. 2001
4. Privatize the
tobacco industry. 2002
(iii)
Telecommunication and
the "Web
Economy"
1. Establish a
Telecommunications Regulatory Agency. 2000 Encourage inclusive and sustainable
participation in
the new form of
economic organization based on
the Internet -
known as the "Web Economy" 2. Adjust telecom tariffs to levels
consistent with a viable private sector telecom
provider.
2001
3. Hire an advisor
to assist in preparation and transaction of Moldtelecom.
Launch tender for
a majority stake by strategic investor in Moldtelecom.
2001. 7
Sector/Policy Area
Objectives Strategies or Measures Timing
4. Sector Specific
a) Agriculture and
Rural
Development
Increase rural
incomes and living standards by
promoting rural
entrepreneurship, agricultural
production,
economic diversification, and trade in
rural areas
Mass registration in
territorial cadastre offices of 1.2 million privatized land
titles.
End 2000
Complete
liquidation of all state farms in Land project. End 2001 (except Gagauzia)
Create an
appropriate legal framework to promote the creation and functioning
of producer and
service cooperatives.
2001
Establish legal,
tax and accounting framework conducive to the operation of
financial leasing
facilities for machinery and equipment.
2001
b) Energy
Privatize energy sector Launch competitive tenders for privatization of power
generation companies
and non-privatized
distribution companies (Red North and Red Northwest) to
strategic
investors.
2001
Improve heating
efficiency 1. Decentralize/municipalize district heating company
“Termocomenergo” into
smaller companies
and transfer them into the ownership of regional/municipal
authorities.
2001
2. Develop
strategy to improve heating efficiency of public and residential
buildings.
2001
Create competitive
electricity trading market Maintain legal and regulatory framework in the energy
sector and adopt market
rules for
electricity trading which would facilitate establishment of a strong
competitive
electricity market, conducive to private sector involvement.
2001
Improve efficiency
of gas consumption Install sensors (metering devices) on the accesses of the
high-pressured pipeline
running through
Moldova’s territory in order to gauge actual gas consumption
and gas transit.
2001
B. Human
Development Promote Sustainable Human Development
1. Overall Sectors
Rationalize education and
health expenditures 1. Complete expenditure review of health and education
sectors. 2001
2. Develop plans
to reform the education and health sectors and improve their
efficiency.
2001
3. Implement the
reform plans. 2001. 8
Sector/Policy Area
Objectives Strategies or Measures Timing
4. Maintain health
and education sector budgets in real terms at least at the level
of the 2000
budget. Improve targeting of health and education expenditures to
the most
vulnerable groups of the population.
Continuous
2. Education Improve
the efficiency of the educational system
and maintain
fiscal sustainability
1. Adopt a
strategy and an implementation plan for Reform of the Education
Sector, in
consultation with the World Bank.
2001
2. Promote access
to, and retention in, basic and secondary education for poor
students
Continuous
3. Improve the
governance and accountability of education system Continuous
3. Health .
Improve access to
primary health care, especially in
rural areas
1. Restructure the
provider network to reduce over-capacity and redirect
resources from
curative tertiary level care towards basic health care provided at
the primary level.
Continuous
2. Strengthen the
primary care network so that it can meet most of the
population's
health needs and improve the quality of services provided.
2003
Implement the
health sector reform strategy 1. Official participation of the private sector in
health care financing through
normalization of
user charges.
Continuous
2. Improve
intra-sectional resource allocation to better align the allocation of
health care
resources to the health needs of the population.
Continuous
C. Social
Protection and Direct Measures to Alleviate Poverty
1. Social
Assistance Reform Alleviate
child poverty 1. Address child poverty through programs in education, health and
social
protection.
Continuous
2. Interventions
aiming at ensuring adequate levels of food security and child
care, and the
social protection of orphans and disabled children.
Continuous
Reform of the
pension system Implement a reformed pension policy that would strengthen the
linkage between
contribution and
benefit, eliminate various privileged pensions, and tighten the
eligibility
criterion.
2002
2. Labor Market
Policy Improve the functioning
of a labor market and
employment policy
1. Undertake a
comprehensive analysis on the labor market developments and
the impact of
structural reforms on the employment, job creation, and wage
adjustment.
2002
2. Identify and
remove the legal constraints on the functioning of a flexible
labor market.
Continuous
3. Evaluate the
efficiency of the existing labor market programs such as job
searching and
retraining and work out a new design.
2002. Appendix
C: Monitoring indicators
Table 1: Life
expectancy and fertility indicators, 1990-1999
1990 1991 1992
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Male life
expectancy at birth (years)
Moldova 65.0 64.3
63.9 64.3 62.3 61.8 62.9 62.9 n/a n/a
CIS 64.3 64.2 63.2
61.0 60.2 60.5 61.4 62.3 62.8 n/a
EU 73.1 73.2 73.5
73.6 74.1 74.2 74.4 74.4 74.5 n/a
Europe 69.0 69.0
68.8 68.1 68.1 68.2 68.7 69.2 n/a n/a
Female life
expectancy at birth (years)
Moldova 71.8 71.0
71.9 71.1 69.8 69.7 70.4 70.3 n/a n/a
CIS 74.0 74.1 73.6
72.2 71.7 71.9 72.4 72.9 73.2 n/a
EU 79.8 79.9 80.3
80.3 80.7 80.8 81.0 80.9 80.9 n/a
Europe 76.9 77.1
77.1 76.6 76.7 76.8 77.1 77.4 n/a n/a
Crude death rate
(per 1000)
Moldova 9.7 10.5
10.2 10.7 11.8 12.2 11.5 11.9 11.1 10.1
CIS 10.4 10.7 11.2
12.7 13.4 13.2 12.7 12.3 12.1 n/a
EU 10.2 10.2 10.0
10.2 9.9 10.0 10. 9.9 n/a n/a
Europe 10.3 10.5
10.6 11.2 11.4 11.3 11.1 10.9 n/a n/a
Natural increase
(per 1000)
Moldova 8.0 6.0
5.8 4.5 2.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 -0.2 -1.3
CIS 16.8 16.0 14.7
13.5 10.0 12.7 11.9 11.4 11.2 n/a
EU 10.0 11.7 11.5
11.2 10.9 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.7 n/a
Europe 14.1 13.6
13.0 12.3 11.9 11.6 11.3 11.1 10.9 n/a
Fertility rate
(births per woman)
Moldova 2.39 2.26
2.21 2.10 1.95 1.76 1.60 1.67 n/a n/a
CIS n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
EU n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Europe n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a. Table
2: Health indicators, 1990-1999
1990 1991 1992
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Infant mortality
rate (per 1,000 births)
Moldova 19.0 19.8
18.4 21.5 22.6 21.2 20.2 19.8 17.5 18.2
CIS 22.0 23.0 24.0
24.9 23.0 21.7 20.6 20.0 18.6 n/a
EU 7.6 7.4 6.9 6.5
6.1 5.7 5.5 n/a n/a n/a
Europe 15.4 15.4
15.3 15.1 14.2 13.2 12.4 11.9 n/a n/a
Maternal mortality
rate (per 100,000 births)
Moldova 53.2 48.4
51.3 51.8 25.8 40.8 40.2 48.3 36.3 28.6
CIS 40.7 41.7 41.8
41.3 41.0 40.9 36.8 38.0 35.1 n/a
EU 7.8 7.3 7.4 5.7
6.6 5.9 7.1 n/a n/a n/a
Europe 24.9 24.5
23.7 22.3 22.3 21.5 19.6 19.2 n/a n/a
Under-five
mortality rate
Moldova n/a n/a
n/a 28.0 29.1 27.3 26.4 26.5 22.8 23.6
CIS 29.0 30.3 31.7
34.2 32.1 30.3 28.3 27.6 25.9 n/a
EU 9.1 8.9 8.2 7.8
7.3 6.9 6.7 n/a n/a n/a
Europe 19.6 19.6
19.5 19.9 18.8 17.5 16.3 15.7 n/a n/a
Immunization rate
– diphteria, pertussis, tetanus (percent of children under 2)
Moldova 86.5 86.0
89.0 85.2 92.0 97.0 97.7 98.0 97.4 97.4
CIS n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
EU n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Europe n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Immunization rate
– polio (percent of children under 2)
Moldova 91.1 89.0
93.0 91.8 94.0 97.0 98.6 98.4 97.6 97.6
CIS n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
EU n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Europe n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Immunization rate
– measles (percent of children under 2)
Moldova 93.8 93.0
92.0 92.0 95.0 98.0 98.4 98.9 99.2 98.8
CIS n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
EU n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Europe n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Physicians (number
per 10,000 population)
Moldova 37.4 37.5
37.4 37.9 38.0 37.1 37.5 37.4 37.6 33.7
CIS 40.0 39.9 38.7
39.2 38.2 38.3 36.7 36.8 37.3 n/a
EU 31.0 31.8 32.5
33.2 33.5 34.2 34.5 34.8 n/a n/a
Europe 33.4 33.8
33.8 34.3 34.1 34.5 34.1 34.4 34.6 n/a
Nurses (number per
10,000 population)
Moldova 103.7
106.3 106.5 107.2 104.0 99.0 95.1 93.0 89.5 79.1
CIS 101.1 94.3
92.4 93.1 90.2 89.3 82.0 80.7 80.0 n/a
EU n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Europe 86.5 80.5
79.7 80.4 80.0 78.7 76.3 75.7 75.4 n/a. Table
3: Education indicators, 1990-1999
1990 1991 1992
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Basic education
enrollments rate
Moldova 95.6 94.4
95.9 93.7 92.3 93.1 92.7 92.5 92.7 95.4
Western CIS 93.6
93.4 92.9 92.0 91.6 92.1 92.1 91.9 n/a n/a
SEE 92.9 91.7 90.2
90.3 91.1 93.2 93.8 94.5 n/a n/a
General secondary
education enrollments rate
Moldova 26.6 22.6
24.1 24.8 25.3 25.6 27.3 29.3 31.7 28.8
Western CIS 24.8
28.0 23.8 23.2 24.0 24.5 26.1 27.8 n/a n/a
SEE 22.5 24.7 25.6
26.0 26.8 26.9 27.8 28.4 n/a n/a
Total secondary
education enrollments rate
Moldova 65.0 61.6
51.6 48.5 47.7 44.6 45.4 46.2 48.3 n/a
Western CIS 71.9
69.9 67.9 66.0 64.4 63.7 64.7 63.7 n/a n/a
SEE 80.7 70.0 62.1
59.0 59.2 59.7 60.1 60.2 n/a n/a
Pupil-teacher
ratio in basic education
Moldova 12.4 12.6
12.4 12.5 18.1 18.7 19.2 19.2 19.3 n/a
Western CIS 12.9
12.5 12.2 11.8 11.7 11.8 11.4 11.2 n/a n/a
SEE 16.9 16.4 15.6
15.4 15.6 15.4 15.3 15.8 n/a n/a. 1
Appendix D: Work
Program for the Preparation of the PRSP
Activities
Stakeholders Time Frame
1. Set up a
Coordination Structure and draft the Interim PRSP
(a) Establish a
PRSP Steering Committee formed of
members of the
Cabinet and headed by the Prime Minister.
GoM July 2000
(b) Establish an
Inter-ministerial Working Group responsible
for the
preparation of the Interim PRSP and the coordination
of PRSP process.
GoM
July 2000
(c) Establish
Sectoral Working Groups responsible for the
development of
sectoral strategies.
GoM July 2000
(d) Draft the
Interim PRSP (IPRSP) and circulate it inside the
Government and
Parliament.
Inter-ministerial
WG, Sectoral WGs
August Œ
September 2000
2. Prepare and
carry out the consultative process with stakeholders
(e) Discuss the
IPRSP with the country™s major development
partners.
Inter-ministerial
WG, Sectoral WGs
September Œ
November 2000
(f) Conduct a
national level workshop to disseminate
information and
discuss the draft IPRSP.
Inter-ministerial
WG, Sectoral WGs,
GoM
November 2000
(g) Establish a
clear set of selection criteria for participation
and define of
institutional mechanisms through which the
identified
stakeholders, including representatives of civil
society, local
administration and the donor community, can
participate in the
preparation of the PRSP and launch the
participatory
process.
Inter-ministerial
WG, Sectoral WGs
December 2000
(h) Ensure the
unrestrained flow of information between
stakeholders and
facilitate the efficient exchange of views and
commentaries
through the use of information technology.
Inter-ministerial
WG, Sectoral WGs
3. Develop and
refine the data base required for targeted poverty alleviation and monitoring
(i) Evaluate
findings of social assessments undertaken in
previous projects
with direct poverty linkages (including
social protection,
rural development, environment, and human
development).
Inter-ministerial
WG, Sectoral WGs
From August
2000 onwards
(j) Develop, in
consultation with Moldova™s development
partners, a plan
for collecting information necessary for
poverty assessment
and monitoring.
Inter-ministerial
WG, Sectoral WGs,
DoSt.
December Œ
January 2000
(k) Update, with
donors™ assistance, the poverty profile
indicators based
on the 2000 Household Budget Survey data.
Inter-ministerial
WG, Sectoral WGs,
DoSt.
March 2001
(l) Complete the
database on social assistance beneficiaries. Inter-ministerial
WG, Sectoral WGs,
MoLSPF
May 2001
4. Develop
sectoral strategies within a Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF)
(m) Prepare a
study identifying the sources of sustainable
growth, focusing
on the improvement in the investment
climate and the
development of Moldova™s export industries.
MoER, Sectoral
WGs April 2001.2
(n) Prepare
poverty reduction strategies in health, education,
public works,
labor and social protection and rural
development.
Sectoral WGs,
MoH, MoES,
MoLSPF, MoAPI
May 2001
(o) Prepare a PRSP
status report setting out poverty reduction
guidelines for the
2002-2004 MTEF process.
Sectoral WGs,
MoH, MoES,
MoLSPF, MoAPI
June 2001
(p) Prepare draft
expenditure plans for the 2002-2004 MTEF
consistent with
the sector resources framework the strategic
objectives
identified in the sector expenditure strategies and
the poverty
reduction guidelines in the PRSP status report.
Sectoral WGs,
MoH, MoES,
MoLSPF, MoAPI July
2001
5. Complete the
full PRSP
(q) Analyze the
information gathered through the consultative
process, present
it to the Steering Committee, and incorporate
the findings into
the PRSP document.
Working Group June
Œ September
2001
(r) Organize a
Consensus Building/Validation Workshop to
review and
finalize the PRSP.
Working Group
October 2001
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